Trump’s Visit to China Won’t Fix Much, If It Even Happens

A potential state visit by President Trump to China is unlikely to resolve underlying tensions, as demonstrated by its potential delay due to the war with Iran. The current truce between the U.S. and China is structurally fragile, with fundamental sources of political, economic, and security mistrust remaining unaddressed. Both nations possess the ability to inflict significant economic damage on each other by weaponizing supply chains for critical items like semiconductors and minerals. While tactical negotiations and minor concessions may occur, they are driven by a fear of mutual harm rather than a genuine strategic realignment, making future escalation likely.