Trump’s Visit to China Won’t Fix Much, If It Even Happens

A potential delay in President Trump's state visit to China, due to a war with Iran, highlights the extreme fragility of the current U.S.-Chinese truce. This tactical stabilization is driven by a mutual fear of economic harm rather than a resolution of fundamental mistrust in political, economic, or security spheres. The relationship remains highly susceptible to external shocks, and future escalations are likely to move beyond tariffs to the weaponization of strategic supply chains like semiconductors and critical minerals. While both sides may offer limited concessions, these are tactical maneuvers and do not signify a broader strategic realignment in their competitive relationship.