How the Peace Deal Between Azerbaijan and Armenia Could Die in the Cradle

A U.S.-facilitated memorandum between Armenia and Azerbaijan proposes a peace deal centered on a transit corridor through Armenia to the Nakhchivan exclave. This agreement could realign the South Caucasus by reducing Russian influence and opening new trade routes, but its success is highly uncertain. The deal faces significant risks from Armenia's deep domestic political divisions, institutional mistrust, and potential constitutional challenges. Critics argue the deal disproportionately benefits Azerbaijan, which could fuel internal resentment, undermine the current Armenian leadership, and create opportunities for Russian and Iranian interference.