A Proxy Without a Purpose: Hizballah and the Iran Crisis

In the event of a major U.S. and Israeli attack on Iran, Hezbollah's value as a proxy is severely limited due to its weakened state. Having been battered in a previous war with Israel and facing domestic pressure to disarm, the group's capacity to meaningfully retaliate is diminished. An order from Tehran to escalate against Israel would likely provoke a devastating response, further endangering Hezbollah rather than aiding Iran. The analysis concludes that an attack on Iran is more likely to empower Hezbollah's enemies and accelerate its decline, rather than activate it as a useful strategic asset.